The Pledge Nobody Can Enforce

Yesterday, Trump walked Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Oracle, xAI, and OpenAI into the White House and made them sign a piece of paper.

The "Ratepayer Protection Pledge."

The promise: "Build, bring, or buy your own power."

The reality: No enforcement mechanism. No regulatory authority. No legal teeth.

Just signatures. And a photo-op in the Indian Treaty Room.

Here's what actually happened, and what it means for the $650 billion flowing into AI infrastructure this year.

WHAT THEY SIGNED

According to the White House, the hyperscalers committed to:

1. Build or buy their own power generation for new AI data centers
2. Cover the cost of infrastructure upgrades, transmission, grid improvements, utility expansions
3. Negotiate separate rate structures with utilities so their load doesn't hit residential bills
4. Hire locally for construction and operations
5. Sell excess generation back to utilities for public use

Energy Secretary Chris Wright: "All of the brand-name hyperscalers have signed on."

White House spokeswoman Taylor Rogers: "These massive companies will build, bring, or buy their own power supply for new AI data centers, ensuring that Americans' electricity bills will not increase as demand grows."

Trump, standing at the podium: "They need some PR help, because people think that if a data center goes in there, electricity prices are going to go up. It's not going to happen."

WHY IT DOESN'T MATTER

Ari Peskoe, Harvard Law School Electricity Law Initiative:

"The 'Ratepayer Protection Pledge' appears to be an unenforceable corporate ESG commitment intended to trick the public into thinking that the White House is doing something about rising energy costs."

"The White House has no real authority here aside from the bully pulpit."

Jill Tauber, Earthjustice:

"More than a pledge, we urgently need strong policies and protections to ensure that data centers pay their way, disclose and mitigate their impacts, and are powered by clean energy."

The hard truth:

Electricity is regulated at the state level.
Grid operations are managed regionally.
The federal government doesn't set utility rates.

This pledge has zero enforcement mechanism. It's a commitment, not a law.

But here's what it DOES do:

It puts the hyperscalers on record.

If utility bills spike in data center markets, they can't claim they didn't know. The pledge creates political cover for the administration, and political liability for the signers.

And it formalizes the "bring your own power" model that's already reshaping project specs across the industry.

More on that below.

MICHIGAN GOES STATEWIDE

While Trump was doing photo-ops, Michigan lawmakers introduced bipartisan moratorium legislation.

House Bills 5594-5596 would:

  • Prohibit new data centers from receiving state or local permits until April 1, 2027

  • Bar the Michigan Public Service Commission from approving agreements with data centers

  • Create a new "Data Center Regulation Act"

State Rep. Jennifer Wortz (R-Hillsdale):
"The bill is just a moratorium for a year on all data centers to hit the pause button and figure out what capacity we can handle."

State Rep. Dylan Wegela (D-Van Buren Township) is co-sponsoring.

This isn't partisan. This is bipartisan panic.

The context:

Michigan already has 19+ local moratoriums in effect.
Howell Township's moratorium killed a $1 billion Meta project.
Sterling Heights and Pontiac have also passed local pauses.

Now the state legislature is trying to do what the locals have already done, make it statewide.

Erik Nordman, MSU Institute of Public Utilities:
"A year pause would give time for communities and the legislature to review some of these projects, and they would also be able to review the plans, the integrated resource plans that will be coming from the utilities."

The opposition:

Tim Daman, Lansing Regional Chamber of Commerce:
"A moratorium on data centers might as well be a moratorium on any future economic development and growth for our state."

What happens next:

The bills have been referred to House Government Operations. Whether they get a vote depends on Speaker Matt Hall.

THE MORATORIUM TRACKER: 11+ STATES

Good Jobs First is now tracking moratorium legislation in at least 11 states this session:

State

Bill

Key Provision

Georgia

HB 1012

No permits until March 1, 2027

Maryland

HB 120

No construction until co-location legislation passes

Michigan

HB 5594-5596

No permits until April 1, 2027

New Hampshire

HB 1265

One-year construction ban statewide

New York

S.9144

3+ year moratorium, mandatory environmental review

Oklahoma

SB 1488

No construction until November 1, 2029

Rhode Island

H. 5286

No permits/incentives until January 1, 2028

South Dakota

SB 232

One-year hyperscale moratorium

Vermont

S.205

Moratorium through July 1, 2030

Virginia

HB 1515

No approvals until grid interconnection conditions met

Wisconsin

LRB-6377/1

No operations without legislative protections

Additional moratoriums pending: Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and others.

The pattern across all bills:

  • Most target facilities over 20 MW

  • Most require environmental and rate impact studies

  • Most include provisions preventing cost-shifting to ratepayers

  • Several ban NDAs between developers and local governments

Translation:

These aren't protest bills. These are regulatory roadblocks backed by state legislatures.

LOCAL MORATORIUMS: THIS WEEK ALONE

The statewide trend hasn't stopped local action. In the last 7 days:

Fulton County, Indiana (March 2):

  • 2-1 vote approving one-year moratorium

  • Residents near Akron packed the meeting

  • Commissioner Bryan Lewis: "If the people in Akron and that area don't want it, then I think we need to really look hard at that."

Ypsilanti, Michigan (March 3-4):

  • City Council approved both a 60-day emergency ordinance AND a 365-day resolution

  • No data centers have even been proposed, this is preemptive

Birmingham, Alabama (March 4):

  • City Council approved six-month moratorium on facilities over 20 MW

  • Council President Wardine Alexander: "We're hearing a lot of things about energy consumption, impact on the environment, land, noise."

  • Two projects (Nebius, DC Block) exempted as already too far along

Urbana, Ohio (March 4):

  • City Council passed 12-month moratorium 6-1

  • Thor Equities/CyrusOne's $1 billion "Urbana Technology Hub" now in limbo

  • Over 4,000 petition signatures opposing data centers collected in two weeks

Denver, Colorado (proposed):

  • Councilmember Paul Kashmann + Mayor Mike Johnston announced one-year moratorium plan

  • Targets CoreSite's Elyria-Swansea facility

  • Could be introduced as early as March 31

THE BUILDOUT CONTINUES IN FRIENDLY STATES

While legislators pump the brakes, the hyperscalers are flooring the accelerator.

Here's where the money went this week:

AMAZON LOUISIANA, $12 BILLION (announced Feb 23)

Three interconnected data center campuses across Caddo and Bossier Parishes in northwest Louisiana.

  • Construction: Starting this week (March 2026)

  • Jobs: 540 permanent, 1,500 construction, 1,700 indirect

  • Partner: STACK Infrastructure (developer/owner/contractor)

  • Power: Amazon paying 100% of costs with SWEPCO

  • Water: $400 million investment in public water infrastructure

Gov. Jeff Landry:
"This is not going to cost the people of Louisiana any more on their utility rates."

What's notable:

Amazon explicitly committed to "pay 100% of the costs associated with our new data center campus in Louisiana" including "all expenses for new energy infrastructure and upgrades."

That's exactly what the Ratepayer Protection Pledge demands, and Amazon announced it before the signing ceremony.

META INDIANA, $10 BILLION, 1 GW (groundbreaking Feb 11)

Lebanon, Indiana. Meta's second Indiana site, 27th in the US, 31st globally.

  • Capacity: 1 GW (enough to power several hundred thousand homes)

  • Jobs: 4,000 construction at peak, 300 operational

  • Community investment: $120 million in water, roads, transmission, utilities

  • Energy: Paying full costs, working with Boone Power/Wabash Valley Power Alliance

  • Water: Restoring 100% to local watersheds

The playbook shift:

Meta announced $1 million per year for 20 years to the Boone REMC Community Fund to help local families with energy bills.

That's not required. That's getting ahead of the political opposition.

MICROSOFT MOUNT PLEASANT, $13 BILLION, 15 DATA CENTERS (approved Jan 26)

The Foxconn redemption story.

Mount Pleasant village board unanimously approved 15 new data centers on land originally purchased for Foxconn's failed $10 billion factory.

  • Scale: Nearly 9 million square feet across two lots

  • Timeline: Construction estimated at 10 years

  • Power: Three new substations

  • Water: Within existing 8.4 million gallon annual allocation from Racine

The irony:

Trump promoted Foxconn's factory during his first term. It never materialized.

Now Microsoft is building AI data centers on the same site during Trump's second term, and he's signing pledges to make sure they don't raise utility bills.

The site that was supposed to bring 13,000 manufacturing jobs is now bringing 15 data centers and a decade of construction work.

PJM: THE 50 MW THRESHOLD

PJM filed its compliance response to FERC's December order. Key change:

New behind-the-meter generation (BTMG) threshold: 50 MW

Under the old rules, data centers with on-site generation could "net" their load, offsetting grid consumption with self-supply and reducing transmission costs.

Under the new rules:

  • New loads larger than 50 MW can't use netting

  • Backup generation doesn't count toward the cap

  • Three-year transition period for existing arrangements

Three new transmission services:

  1. Interim non-firm (while waiting for upgrades)

  2. Firm Contract Demand (guaranteed MW from grid)

  3. Non-firm Contract Demand (interruptible service)

Key dates:

  • March 18, 2026: Responses to PJM's initial brief due

  • April 17, 2026: Reply briefs due

  • December 18, 2028: Transition period for existing BTMG customers ends

What it means:

If you're co-locating generation with a data center over 50 MW, you're paying for grid services proportional to your actual grid usage.

No more hiding behind on-site generation to avoid transmission costs.

This is exactly what the moratorium movement has been demanding, and now it's becoming grid operator policy.

THE NUMBERS

Global Pipeline:

  • $2.3 trillion in data center construction projects tracked globally

  • $1.29 trillion in North America alone

  • 32% in pre-execution/execution stages

  • 68% in pre-planning/planning stages

2026 Hyperscaler Capex (combined):

  • $650-690 billion committed

  • ~70% increase from 2025

  • ~75% going directly to AI infrastructure

Moratorium Tracker:

  • 11+ states with active legislation

  • 25+ local moratoriums in Michigan alone

  • At least 25 U.S. data center projects canceled in 2025 due to local opposition

PJM Timeline:

  • March 18: Response briefs due

  • April 17: Replies due

  • June 30: Next capacity auction

  • December 2028: BTMG transition period ends

WHAT THIS MEANS FOR YOUR BUSINESS

The political split is no longer hypothetical. It's operational.

PRO-DATA-CENTER STATES:

Louisiana, Indiana, Wisconsin (selectively), Texas, Arizona, Nevada

  • Governors are doing announcement ceremonies

  • Utilities are signing long-term agreements

  • Opposition exists but is being overridden at the state level

MORATORIUM STATES:

Michigan, New York, Vermont, Virginia, Minnesota (potentially)

  • Statewide legislation is moving

  • Local opposition is organizing effectively

  • Projects are being delayed or killed

  • The regulatory environment is hostile

IF YOU'RE IN TRUCKING/HEAVY HAUL:

Louisiana just announced $12 billion in construction starting this month.
Meta's Indiana site is breaking ground.
Microsoft's Wisconsin expansion will run 10 years.

Position equipment in pro-data-center states. The work is flowing to friendly jurisdictions.

IF YOU'RE IN ELECTRICAL/POWER SYSTEMS:

The Ratepayer Protection Pledge formalizes "bring your own power."

Amazon explicitly committed to pay 100% of power infrastructure costs in Louisiana.
Meta is doing the same in Indiana.

On-site generation, fuel cells, solar+storage, anything that lets developers avoid grid dependency is now the spec.

The pledge accelerates that trend.

IF YOU'RE IN CONSTRUCTION:

The hyperscalers are committing $650+ billion this year. That money has to go somewhere.

With moratoriums spreading across the Midwest and Northeast, the buildout is concentrating in:

  • Louisiana (Amazon, Meta's Hyperion)

  • Indiana (Meta Lebanon, Anthropic)

  • Texas (Stargate, various)

  • Wisconsin (Microsoft Mount Pleasant)

  • Arizona/Nevada (Google, various)

Know where the work is. Know where it isn't.

IF YOU'RE TRACKING COMMUNITY RELATIONS:

The playbook is evolving.

Meta's committing $1 million/year for 20 years to help families with energy bills.
Amazon's investing $400 million in water infrastructure.
Microsoft is hiring locally for decade-long construction.

The hyperscalers are learning that opposition can be preempted, if you commit early and commit publicly.

THE BOTTOM LINE

Yesterday's White House ceremony was political theater, but it captured something real.

The hyperscalers are now on record promising to pay their own way.
The federal government is blessing a "bring your own power" model.
And the states that want data center investment are competing to offer friendly terms.

Meanwhile, 11+ states are actively considering moratoriums.
Michigan just went bipartisan on a statewide pause.
Local opposition is killing projects in real time, Urbana, Ohio watched a $1 billion proposal get frozen Tuesday night.

The buildout isn't slowing down.

Amazon committed $12 billion to Louisiana last week.
Meta broke ground on a 1 GW facility in Indiana.
Microsoft got 15 data centers approved on the former Foxconn site.

But it's concentrating geographically.

The states that want it are getting it.
The states that don't are watching billions flow elsewhere.

The Ratepayer Protection Pledge doesn't have teeth.
But it has signatures.
And those signatures create accountability.

If utility bills spike in data center markets, we'll know exactly who promised it wouldn't happen, and we'll have the photo from the Indian Treaty Room to prove it.

That's Issue #8.

The pledge was signed.
The moratoriums are spreading.
The billions are flowing but only to the places that want them.

Position accordingly.

Talk next week.

Edem

The DC Pipeline: Weekly intelligence for truckers, contractors, equipment suppliers, and lenders serving the data center buildout.

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